NFL Week 9 Early 1PM Slate Betting Picks, Odds, & Best Bets

Alex Murray
By: Alex Murray
Oct 30, 2025
NFL Picks
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We had a positive card last weekend, nabbing four of our seven bets to get our overall season record back in the black. Nice. We’ll look to build on that here in Week 9. There’s a ton of opportunity with eight games on the early Sunday afternoon 1PM slate. Read on for our best bets and analysis for each game, not to mention the best betting odds from the top Canadian betting sites!

2025 1PM Slate Best Bet Record: 34-25 (+0.18)

Note: None of our best bets feature odds shorter than -200.

Highlights

  • New England is 4-0 ATS when they are favored by 3+ points this season
  • The Packers are 0-4 ATS when they are favored by more than 3 points
  • Cincinnati allows more rushing yards to RBs (132.1 per game) than anyone in the NFL

NFL Week 9 Early Sunday 1PM Betting Picks & Odds - November 2

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

Atlanta Falcons (3-4) @ New England Patriots (6-2) - 1PM

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadTotal (Over/Under)
Atlanta Falcons+235+5.5 (-110)O45.5 (-110)
New England Patriots-290-5.5 (-110)U45.5 (-110)

The Patriots have covered the spread in all six of their wins, and the bigger the spread the better. They are 4-0 ATS when they are favored by 3+ points this season. Whether Kirk Cousins or Michael Penix Jr. is playing QB for the Falcons, we don’t think it really matters. Drake Maye will get it done at home, especially with Atlanta’s best DB, safety Jessie Bates, day-to-day with an ankle issue right now.

Best Bet: New England Patriots -5.5 Point Spread (-110)

Carolina Panthers (4-4) @ Green Bay Packers (5-1-1) - 1PM

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadTotal (Over/Under)
Carolina Panthers+590+12.5 (-110)O44.5 (-110)
Green Bay Packers-850-12.5 (-110)U44.5 (-110)

The Packers have the best record in the NFC right now, but they have not really been blowing teams away. Especially the ones they’re supposed to. They are 3-0 ATS when they’re favored by three points or less, but they are 0-4 ATS when it’s a larger spread than that. Andy Dalton does give us pause here, but buying up a couple of points makes us a bit more comfortable.

Best Bet: Carolina Panthers Alternative +14.5 Point Spread (-154)

Denver Broncos (6-2) @ Houston Texans (3-4) - 1PM

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadTotal (Over/Under)
Denver Broncos+100+1.5 (-110)O39.5 (-110)
Houston Texans-118-1.5 (-110)U39.5 (-110)

The Texans were favored last week against the injury-plagued 49ers, but we still thought the win they got was a surprise. They were without their top two WRs, and they could be again here. Denver’s elite defense is much healthier than San Francisco’s, so we’re not sure why 6-2 Denver is also a dog here. And we’re not ready to believe in Houston just yet.

Best Bet: Denver Broncos Moneyline (+100)

Los Angeles Chargers (5-3) @ Tennessee Titans (1-7) - 1PM

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadTotal (Over/Under)
Los Angeles Chargers-520-9.5 (-110)O43.5 (-110)
Tennessee Titans+400+9.5 (-110)U43.5 (-110)

The Titans are not only tied for the worst real-life record in the league at 1-7, but they are also tied for the worst ATS record in football at just 2-6. Apart from their eight-point loss in Week 1, Tennessee’s other six losses have all come by double-digits. Add Justin Herbert and the Chargers to the list of perpetrators.

Best Bet: Los Angeles Chargers -9.5 Point Spread (-110)

Chicago Bears (4-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals (3-5) - 1PM

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadTotal (Over/Under)
Chicago Bears-142-2.5 (-110)O51.5 (-110)
Cincinnati Bengals+120+2.5 (-110)U51.5 (-110)

This one’s tough to call because we’re not quite sure what to make of either of these teams, especially after one lost to Snoop Huntley last week and the other allowed the Jets to earn their first win of the season. However, one thing we do know is that the Bengals can’t stop the run and they allow more rushing yards to RBs (132.1) than any other team, so we’ll roll with Bears back D’Andre Swift. His line is not yet up, however, so we’ll just estimate what it might be for now.

Best Bet: D’Andre Swift Over 60.5 Rush Yards (-110)

Indianapolis Colts (7-1) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) - 1PM

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadTotal (Over/Under)
Indianapolis Colts-162-3.0 (-110)O50.5 (-110)
Pittsburgh Steelers+136+3.0 (-110)U50.5 (-110)

Mike Tomlin is known for his excellent record against the spread as a home underdog. However, we’re not quite sure this Steelers defense is going to be able to keep it within a field goal against this potent Indy offense. Instead, we’ll go with what we know for sure: neither of these teams has a very good defense. Pittsburgh’s last two games went way over this total, and ditto for five of Indy’s last seven.

Best Bet: Alternative Game Total Points Over 49.5 (-115)

San Francisco 49ers (5-3) @ New York Giants (2-6) - 1PM

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadTotal (Over/Under)
San Francisco 49ers-152-2.5 (-110)O48.5 (-110)
New York Giants+128+2.5 (-110)U48.5 (-110)

The 49ers are getting healthier every day. They could have some guys from their receiving corps back this week, and QB Brock Purdy is inching towards a return. But all of those are up in the air right now, so we’ll go with their one constant this season: Christian McCaffrey. This Giants front is a menace when rushing the passer, but they can’t stop the run.

Best Bet: Christian McCaffrey Over 71.5 Rush Yards (-110)

Minnesota Vikings (3-4) @ Detroit Lions (5-2) - 1PM

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadTotal (Over/Under)
Minnesota Vikings+390+8.5 (-110)O48.5 (-110)
Detroit Lions-510-8.5 (-110)U48.5 (-110)

Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs has played the Vikings three times in his career. In the first, he went for 100 scrimmage yards as a rookie. Last year, he went for 160 and 170, respectively. Thankfully, betting sites have set his number for yards from scrimmage this week at just 99.5, which we find exceedingly reasonable.

Best Bet: Jahmyr Gibbs Over 99.5 Scrimmage Yards (-110)

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Alex Murray has been a consistent presence on BettingTop10 since he joined the team in 2020 just after graduating from Ryerson University’s Sport Media program in 2019. He has written for publications including theScore, Sporting News, FanSided, FantasyPros, and more over his 6+ years in the field. Alex has also been a lifelong athlete and sports fan who has channeled that love into his entertaining writing style and shrewd betting strategies.