NFL Week 9 Player Prop Best Bets & Odds
All odds provided by Sports Interaction.
Bijan Robinson, RB, ATL - Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-110) @ NE
Last week, Bijan Robinson (and, if we’re being honest, his entire team) really cost us. However, Bijan is the type of guy to put his hand up and take the blame when he plays even slightly subpar. And his performance against the Dolphins was far below subpar, and he acknowledged that:
“I have to do better. I put everything on me. I’m the leader of this offense. If I’m not playing to the level that I need to play, then we’re not going to do what we’re supposed to do on offense. There’s no excuse at all. … We just have to be better next week.”
That’s a guy who recognizes his shortcomings and wants to make up for them. We know he’s going up against one of the best run defenses in the league in New England this week, but this feels like a rare situation where you can throw the matchup out the window. Robinson is going to be going extra hard, and we believe the Falcons will feed him even if they go down big, which is very possible.
Kimani Vidal, RB, LAC - Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-120) vs. TEN
With Omarion Hampton still convalescing on injured reserve and Hassan Haskins likely to miss a second straight game with a hamstring injury, this is once again Kimani Vidal’s backfield. Last week, Vidal had 23 carries for 117 yards and a score. A couple of weeks before that, he went for 124 on the ground to go with a touchdown through the air.
We thought about taking his rushing yards prop here against the Titans, who are allowing the second-most rushing yards a game to RBs (119.4), but we think that Vidal’s anytime touchdown odds are a safer bet. Tennessee has allowed 14 TDs to running backs this year, after all, far more than any other team.
Brock Bowers, TE, LV - Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs. JAX
Brock Bowers had a record-breaking season last year, and he started off his sophomore effort strongly as well, with 103 yards in Week 1. However, during that opening day win, he picked up a knock, and though he tried to play through it for a few weeks, the knee injury became too much to bear after three more games.
He has been on the shelf just over a month now, but head coach Pete Carroll has said that the TE is practicing at full speed this week, so we don’t anticipate any kind of pitch count for Bowers here against the Jags. And that’s just as well: the Jags are allowing 62.6 yards a game to TEs, 10th-most in the NFL.
More consequential, however, is the fact that they have also allowed an opposing TE to hit the over on their receiving yards prop in every single game this season. Knowing that, we’re surprised NFL sportsbooks left Bowers’ line so low.
Kareem Hunt, RB, KC - Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+115) @ BUF
Chiefs starting running back Isiah Pacheco picked up an MCL sprain in his knee last time out, and he did not participate in practice on Wednesday. He has also been labelled as “week-to-week”, which generally means a player will miss at least one game if not more. In this situation, that also means Kareem Hunt is going to get all the looks he can handle. Especially in the red zone.
Hunt has become a solid short-yardage back, scoring four times from inside the five this season. He has also scored in three of his last six games, and he scored twice in two of those. Arguably a bigger reason for this bet, however, is how poor Buffalo’s run defense has been. Ed Oliver is out for at least a month, which means this unit is truly in the pooper. They have given up at least one TD to a running back in six of their seven games this season.
