New Orleans Saints vs Pittsburgh Steelers: NFL Predictions, Odds & Picks | Week 7

Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 9:30 AM ET · Stade de France, Paris, France · NFL Network

Odds courtesy of Bet365, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

The Steelers and Saints meet in Paris for a Week 7 game at Stade de France, and the neutral site doesn't change that Pittsburgh, at 4-2, is the team with the momentum. They have won two in a row where they totaled 60 points. The Saints snapped their three-game losing streak in their last game but they almost gave up a big lead to a Giants’ team that was playing their third-string QB. The biggest factor in this game is four-time MVP Aaron Rodgers facing New Orleans and their 31st ranked scoring defense.

Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5: -101

I'm backing Pittsburgh to cover here. The Steelers have won three of four since their Week 2 blowout loss at New England, while New Orleans has given up at least 23 points in four of its six games. Pittsburgh's defence ranks 12th in points allowed per game and while the Saints have a decent offence, their defence is their downfall. Being this game is at a neutral site across the pond adds more value to the Steelers and I would take them at 3.5-point even playing in New Orleans. 

Jaylen Warren Over 63.5 Rushing Yards: -115

Warren is averaging 76.7 rushing yards a game on 84 carries, comfortably clear of this number, and he's the clear early-down back in an offence that leans on the run with a lead. He has rushed for over 63.5 yards in three of five games this season and will do so again facing a Saints’ run defense that ranks 30th in the league.

Odds from Bet365 and Sports Interaction, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

The Pittsburgh side

Aaron Rodgers has five TDs and only one INT in the last two games, with DK Metcalf, 318 yards and 30 catches, his top target. The Steelers most recently escaped Tampa Bay 26-19 in overtime, a game already covered in last week's Buccaneers vs Steelers tip. Pittsburgh's defence has allowed just 21.3 points a game, 12th in the league, and they come into this game relatively healthy with no big injuries. I like Pittsburgh here with a balanced team facing New Orleans and their struggling defence, that has given up points in bunches. 

The New Orleans side

Tyler Shough and WR Chris Olave are the top two weapons for the Saints and while a legit duo they will be facing a Pittsburgh pass defense that ranks seventh in the league. Their run game does not rank in the top 20 in rushing yards per game and Shough will have to shoulder the load. The Saints beat the Giants 34-27 last week, a result already covered in New Orleans' own tip from that game, but that came against a defence far worse than what Pittsburgh brings. Their offence will not be able to offset the major issues on the defensive side of the ball.

Bet365	Sports Interaction
Pittsburgh Steelers Moneyline	Over 44.5 total points
-185	-110
Bet Safety Net Up To C$1,000 or Bet C$10 and Get C$50 in Bonus Bets	125% Welcome Bonus Up To C$750
Bet Now	Bet Now

Bet365 and Sports Interaction odds, correct at time of writing and subject to change.

Pittsburgh's de-vigged moneyline works out to 62% against 38% for New Orleans, and my own number sits close to that at 64%-36%, close enough that the market looks efficient here. Where I'd push back is the total: Bet365 has it at 44.5, and between Pittsburgh's offence and a Saints defence that can't get stops, I expect the total to go Over the posted total. 

Pittsburgh Steelers Last 5 Games

New Orleans Saints Last 5 Games

I'm backing Pittsburgh to win by a touchdown and cover the 3.5-point spread, with the scoring landing a couple of points over the total. Warren does enough on the ground to keep New Orleans off balance, and Rodgers gets it done without having to do it all and have a huge game. 

New Orleans moves the ball in stretches behind the pass game, but its own defence gives it right back, which is why the Steelers and the Over are the picks.