After one of the most shocking results of the year on Thursday, the NFL could be in for more surprises on Sunday. However, we’re looking for those situations that won’t surprise us. We won’t be looking at moneyline or spread odds, but we’ll be taking a look at all the best player props that are offering the most value from the top NFL betting sites and betting apps.
NFL Week 13 Best Player Props Picks NFL Betting Odds
- D.J. Moore and Jahmyr Gibbs should have big days through the air in Chicago
- Alvin Kamara will slice up the Panthers’ terrible run defense
- Denver have allowed tight ends to run roughshod, Gerald Everett will do the honors Sunday
NFL Week 14 Sunday Slate Player Props Betting Odds - Sunday, December 4th
All odds provided by Sports Interaction.
Alvin Kamara (NO) - Over 59.5 Rush Yards (-110) vs. Carolina Panthers
The Carolina Panthers are nothing but a charity case at this point in the season. They’ve been especially bad on the road in 2023, where they have yet to win a game and are just 1-5-1 ATS. New Orleans, to be fair, has yet to cover at home, but if they’re gonna do it, it’s gonna be against the Panthers. Playing with a lead means more running plays, which means more work for Alvin Kamara.
Kamara hasn’t had a big season running the ball, but he’s still been exceeding expectations. The veteran has hit the over on his rushing yards prop in six of his last eight games, and he’s being served up with a perfect matchup to keep that trend going. Teams are running the ball with the sixth-most frequency against Carolina, and that’s resulted in the fourth-most rushing yards per game allowed to running backs. AK-41 should have no issues running rampant at home on Sunday afternoon.
D.J. Moore (CHI) - Over 71.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs. Detroit Lions
The Detroit Lions have been looking a lot like the Lions of old over the last few weeks. They’re still picking up wins, which is new, but their defense has been a complete shambles over the past month. Across their last four games, they’ve given up the eighth-most passing yards. The Bears might seem like a nice get-right game for the Lions, but don’t be fooled, they’ve actually been playing pretty well of late.
They should keep this one competitive because of that swiss cheese defense for the Lions. However, they’re likely to be playing from behind, and chasing the game lends itself to more passes. Bears No. 1 wideout D.J. Moore has kind of been rolling lately, hitting the over on his yards prop in his last three straight games, a span during which he’s averaged over 89 yards per outing. Moore also had 96 yards against this same Lions defense just a few weeks ago, so we like him to have another big game.
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) - Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs. Chicago Bears
Staying in the Windy City, there’s a prop on the other side of the contest that is looking positively delicious as well. When it comes to defending running backs running patterns out of the backfield, there is no team as bad as the Bears, and it’s not particularly close. They give up 59.4 receiving yards per game to running backs, which is about 10 yards more than the next worst mark.
That’s music to the ears of Lions change of pace back Jahmyr Gibbs, who has taken on the third-down role for the Lions since David Montgomery’s return. He hasn’t had much success through the air over the last two weeks, but prior to that he hit this over four times in a row, one of which was against these Bears. He had 59 receiving yards in that game, and we’d expect him to put on a similar performance here.
Gerald Everett (LAC) - Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs. Denver Broncos
Denver’s defense has been playing better of late, but one area where they’ve continued to struggle is with stopping the opposition’s big tight ends in the middle of the field. Backup tight end Brevin Jordan had 64 yards last week, David Njoku had 59 the week before, T.J. Hockenson had 55 the week before that, 51 from Dalton Kincaid before that, and 58 from Travis Kelce the week prior. Safe to say, it’s an ongoing problem.
The Chargers have struggled with injuries to their skill position players but tight end Gerald Everett has been a consistent option underneath. He’s coming off his two best performances, with back-to-back games going for 40+ yards. With Mike Williams out and rookie Quentin Johnston underachieving, Everett should be able to step up as Justin Herbert’s number two option and cover this over with ease.
BONUS SNF PROP - Ceedee Lamb (DAL) - Over 90.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Philadelphia Eagles may be 10-2, but there’s one thing they haven’t been able to do all year: stop opposing wide receivers. The only team allowing more yards to receivers are the porous Washington Commanders. Their issues in that area were exacerbated when they went up against Ceedee Lamb, who had nearly 200 yards against Philly in their last meeting.
Lamb has been a revelation this season and has been playing well recently, topping 100 yards in five of his last seven outings. This divisional battle is likely to be a shootout, so expect Lamb to have another banner day against the rival Eagles.
Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including stops writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of the lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.