NFL Week 13 Best Player Props Picks NFL Betting Odds

Alex Murray
By:
Alex Murray
03 Dec 23
Betting Magazine
News - NFL
NFL Week 13 Best Player Props Picks NFL Betting Odds

After a barn burner of a Thursday nighter this week, everyone’s hoping the Week 13 Sunday slate can build on that excitement with some more thrilling finishes. We won’t be looking at moneyline or spread odds, but we’ll be taking a look at all the best player props that are offering the most value from the top NFL betting sites and betting apps.

Highlights

  • Bijan Robinson should bulldoze the Jets’ terrible run defense
  • Najee Harris and Devin Singletary will also find success against units who can’t stop the run
  • Tyreek will continue rolling as he goes up against the Commanders

NFL Week 13 Sunday Slate Player Props Betting Odds - Sunday, December 3rd

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

Bijan Robinson (ATL) - Over 57.5 Rush Yards (-110 odds) vs. New York Jets

Bijan Robinson’s rookie year has been quite the topsy turvy ride so far. He started off on fire for the first few weeks before head coach Arthur Smith reined him in a lot in October. It seems the coach has realized the error in those ways, because Robinson is once again the focal point of Atlanta’s offense, seeing 19+ touches in back-to-back games.

He has also been able to hit the over on his rushing yards prop three times in his last four games as Atlanta rides the running game to success. They’ve got an ideal matchup here against the Jets as well, as New York is giving up the second-most rush yards per game in 2023. They’re also giving up the fifth-most rush yards per game to running backs. The Falcons won’t be trailing in this game because the Jets can’t score, so there will be tons of opportunities for Robinson to hit the over here.

Devin Singletary (HOU) - Over 55.5 Rush Yards (-110 odds) vs. Denver Broncos

The Texans backfield has been a bit of an enigma for most of this season, with Dameon Pierce nominally leading a committee but no one really taking charge. However, since Pierce went down with injury it has been Devin Singletary’s backfield, and he has taken his chance with both hands, rushing for 100+ yards in Weeks 10 and 11.

Pierce returned last week, however, and Singletary’s production dropped. However, Pierce didn’t do much either, as the Texans gave up on the run early as they started chasing the game. Despite both backs struggling to produce, there was no question who was leading the backfield, as Singletary took over 80 percent of the snaps. We’d expect that trend to more or less continue.

The biggest reason for this pick isn’t Singletary, however, but rather the defense he and the Texans’ running game will be going up against in the Denver Broncos. They are giving up 133.4 rush yards a game to running backs, tops in the league, and they have given up at least 60 yards to an opposing running back in nine of their last 10 games. This one should be a lock.

Najee Harris (PIT) - Over 56.5 Rush Yards (-110 odds) vs. Arizona Cardinals

Believe it or not, firing Matt Canada, which had been on the minds of Steelers fans for the better part of two years, actually improved the offense. They looked like they were playing with much more freedom last week in a win, putting up their first 400+ yard game since 2020.  A big part of the success was the reliance on the running game, with the team running the ball 33 times on the day.

Both Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren had solid performances, but Harris got a few extra carries and did a lot more with them. His rushing yards prop is also slightly smaller than Warren’s, who’s sitting at 58.5. Going up against the hapless Cardinals, who give up 120.4 rush yards per game to running backs, second-most in the NFL, at home, the Steelers should be dominating the ball and feeding both of their running backs again. Warren wouldn’t be a bad bet either, but we’re rolling with Harris here.

Tyreek Hill (MIA) - Over 99.5 Receiving Yards (-110 odds) vs. Washington Commanders

The Miami Dolphins are bullies. They struggle against tough teams but they beat up on the dregs of the NFL. Don’t get it twisted, the Washington Commanders are in that conversation as one of the worst teams in the NFC, sitting above only the Cardinals and Panthers in the conference standings.

Washington actually has a pretty potent offense, but their defense is like swiss cheese—especially their pass defense, which will have Tyreek Hill and company licking their chops. They’re giving up 196.3 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this year, which is second-most in the NFL, and they also have the third-worst overall passing defense in terms of yards allowed.

They’re giving up the second-most net yards per pass attempt to boot, which means they’re extra susceptible to the deep ball, music to Hill’s ears. The speedster has gone for 100+ yards in five of his last seven games, and while he did burn us against the Eagles a few weeks back, we’re hopping back on the bandwagon here. No way he lets us down twice, right?

Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including stops writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of the lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.