The NFL season really is a blink and you’ll miss it proposition. We’re already to the midway point of the season in Week 8, and teams are starting to show who they really are with every passing week.
We’ll be considering all the best player props including betting markets such as anytime touchdown, rush yards, receiving yards, and more from the top sportsbooks in Canada.
All odds provided by Sports Interaction.
The Kansas City Chiefs offense finally looks like it’s really rolling after that big divisional win last week over the Chargers. However, while Patrick Mahomes and the air attack had a field day, Isaiah Pacheco managed just 32 yards on the ground, his lowest total since Week 1. That means that Pacheco is due for a bounce back game, not only because a seventh-round pick inevitably carries a big chip on his shoulder, but also because Andy Reid will want to get back to a more balanced attack.
Pacheco has been having a great year, but he has slowed since his big breakout game against the Jets in Week 4. Pacheco has gone for 55, 62, and 32 in the three games since, all totals that hit the under on his rushing yards prop. Considering that trend, the Week 8 matchup couldn’t be more perfectly set, as the Chiefs take on by far the worst run defense in the league in the Denver Broncos.
From Week 2 to Week 7, the Broncos allowed every single opponent’s top back to hit the over on their rushing yards prop. They’re also giving up a league-leading 143.6 rushing yards a game to opposing running backs this year. On top of all that, the Chiefs are likely to be playing with a lead for most of the game, so the over on Pacheco’s 65.5 rush yards prop at -115 odds is very intriguing.
Jalen Hurts has thrown five interceptions over the last three games, which means he could be quicker to pull the ball down and run on Sunday against the Commanders. He’s rushed for 34+ yards in five of seven games this year anyhow. Before that Dolphins game last week, Hurts had hit his rush yards prop in back-to-back games.
He also rushed for 34 yards in Philly’s previous meeting with Washington this year. The biggest reason for this bet, however, is not Hurts, but the Commanders defense, which has been extremely susceptible to running quarterbacks this season.
Russell Wilson smashed his rush yards prop in Week 2 against Washington with 56 yards, Josh Allen bulldozed them for 46 yards and an over, Justin Fields had 57 yards a couple weeks later, and even Desmond Ridder scampered for 18 and an over a couple of weeks ago. Just last week, Tyrod Taylor hit his over with 25 yards as well. The Commanders have given up 231 QB rush yards this year, highest in the league, so Hurts should have no problem topping 35 yards on the ground.
We rolled with Tyreek Hill last week because he was seemingly a lock every game, and while he did score a touchdown for us, he fell 11 yards short of his yards prop thanks to a couple of uncharacteristic drops. He should have gotten there, and with the prop down seven yards this week, we love him to make it up to us this week.
It is true that Hill had his worst game of the year with just 40 yards against the Patriots when they met earlier this season, but Hill hasn’t had two sub-100 yard games in a row this year, and considering the Dolphins will be rearing to go after their humbling on SNF last week, we expect them to air it out to Hill early and often. Hill has only gone under in two straight games thrice since he arrived in Miami. Take Hill to have go over here at -115 odds.
T.J. Watt has been a menace for the Pittsburgh Steelers this year, quite literally carrying them to a couple of wins with the splash plays he’s been able to make. He’s scored a touchdown on a fumble recovery to seal a win against the Browns, and he got the Steelers going with an interception returned inside the 10 last week against the Rams. But despite all the different ways he’s been contributing, it’s still tormenting QBs where he shines the most.
He’s still second in the league in sacks, with eight through six games for the Steelers. Another important note is that he did not have a sack last week despite his massive impact. Believe it or not, Watt has gone sackless in two straight games just once since 2018, so it’s safe to say he’s in line to get back on the board here.
Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of their lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.
