Week 4’s edition of Sunday Night Football is bound to have extra eyes on it thanks to international superstar Taylor Swift’s expected attendance, but what about what’s going to happen on the field between the visiting Kansas City Chiefs and the New York Jets? As one would expect, the Chiefs come into the game as massive moneyline favorites on all NFL betting sites and betting apps.
New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Odds
- Kansas City go on the road with a very large -9.5 point spread
- Bookmakers are expecting a low-scoring affair with the total sitting at 41.5
- Travis Kelce is the most likely to find pay dirt at MetLife with -167 odds
New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Odds - Sunday, October 1st
The Kansas City Chiefs got off to a shocking start when they lost to Detroit in the opener, but they seem to be finding their footing with back-to-back wins in Weeks 2 and 3. The New York Jets, meanwhile, have been flailing since they somehow pulled out a win in Week 1. All odds provided by Betway.
|New York Jets||-455||-9.5 (-110)||O41.5 (-110)|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+350||+9.5 (-110)||U41.5 (-110)|
For many pundits, this was supposed to be a possible AFC Championship preview featuring two of the best quarterbacks of this millennium. But instead, it’s more than likely going to be another beatdown of the Jets by a team with a superior player taking snaps from under center.
And by superior, we mean Patrick Mahomes is not even in the same league as Zach Wilson. They’re not even playing the same sport. Wilson is just 8-16 through his first 24 starts in the NFL, and his last two performances have been right in line with how he looked last year, meaning that an entire offseason with the great Aaron Rodgers did nothing to boost his development.
The Jets offense looks absolutely atrocious without Rodgers, as they’ve been unable to score more than 20 offensive points in any of the three games so far. Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb, who are former teammates of Rodgers, can’t get open, and with teams doubling Garrett Wilson, there’s not much Wilson could do even if he had the facilities.
Apart from an 83-yard scamper by Breece Hall in Week 1, the Jets have been abysmal on the ground too. Without that one long run, they’ve managed just 191 yards through three games on just 2.9 yards per carry. It’s no wonder that they’re averaging just 4.7 plays per drive, worst in the NFL.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs defense has lowkey been one of the stingiest in the league through three weeks. They’ve given up the fourth-fewest points (40), the sixth-fewest passing yards (534), and the 11th-fewest rushing yards (308). This could get ugly for the Jets and honestly, we wouldn’t be surprised if they get shutout at home.
While KC’s spread is a little bit high, we love that it’s not in double-digits. And considering how paltry the Jets’ offense has looked, it shouldn’t be too tough for Mahomes and company to cover that -9.5 spread at -110 odds.
The total sits at 41.5 at -110 odds, and we think that’s more than generous. Unless the Chiefs put up a 40-burger, the under on this one feels pretty safe. We’ve already discussed the Jets offense and the Chiefs defense, and their counterparts haven’t quite given us reason to doubt the under.
While the Chiefs dropped 40 in Week 3, it was against the Bears, so it should be taken with a grain of salt. Apart from that game, Kansas City’s offense doesn’t look like they’ve quite found their rhythm, which bodes well for the under. The Jets defense, for its part, has been painfully mediocre.
Not to mention that the Jets and Chiefs have both gone under in two of their first three games, and it’s worth noting that prime time games have gone under nine of 11 times so far this year. If you include the 2022 season, the under is 49-24 when games are being played under the lights.
Player Props To Consider
With Taylor Swift likely to be in attendance to watch her rumored new man Travis Kelce take the field, we’re loving some Kelce props for this game. He scored a touchdown last week with Swift cheering like a mad-woman, and we’re expecting that to happen again in New York, though the odds aren’t quite as nice to look at. Nonetheless, -167 odds for Kelce’s anytime TD are still solid.
If you wanted to get a little more spicy, Kelce to score the first TD at +400 could be a sneaky good bet, as the tight end will want to get off to a hot start in front of his new dame. Kelce’s receiving yards number, 72.5, is one that he has not eclipsed in a game yet, but we like him to do it against the Jets at -115 odds: New York has given up the most touchdowns to tight ends so far (3) and the fifth-most yards (169).
With the Chiefs expected to roll on Sunday night, they’ll be in running mode for much of the game, so expect a big night from Isaiah Pacheco. His rushing yards prop is surprisingly low at just 53.5, a number he’s hit twice already, so we’re taking the over on that at -115 odds. His +125 anytime touchdown odds are also worth a look as well.
Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including stops writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of the lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.