2026 NFL Regular Season Passing Yards Leader Futures Market: Breakdown & Value Picks - August 10
All odds provided by Betway.
2026 NFL Regular Season Passing Yards Leader - Betting Odds
| Player | Betting Odds | 2025 Passing Yards (NFL Rank) |
| Jared Goff (DET) | +650 | 4,564 (1st) |
| Matthew Stafford (LAR) | +750 | 4,707 (1st) |
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | +750 | 4,552 (3rd) |
| Joe Burrow (CIN) | +750 | 1,809 (30th) |
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | +1,000 | 3,587 (12th) |
| Brock Purdy (SF) | +1,400 | 2,167 (27th) |
| Drake Maye (NE) | +1,400 | 4,394 (4th) |
| Sam Darnold (SEA) | +1,800 | 4,048 (5th) |
| Trevor Lawrence (JAX) | +1,800 | 4,007 (6th) |
| Caleb Williams (CHI) | +2,000 | 3,942 (7th) |
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | +2,000 | 3,727 (9th) |
| C.J. Stroud (HOU) | +2,200 | 3,041 (19th) |
| Tyler Shough (NO) | +2,200 | 2,384 (25th) |
| Baker Mayfield (TB) | +2,500 | 3,693 (10th) |
| Jordan Love (GB) | +2,500 | 3,381 (13th) |
The Favourites
This is a pretty fun futures betting market because the field is wide open. You can even get pretty good value betting on the favourite, Detroit’s Jared Goff (+650). He finished second last year in this category, about 140 yards behind Matthew Stafford (+750) who is tied for second on the odds table.
From 2006-2016, Drew Brees led the league seven times. You could pretty much count on it. But from 2016-2026, 10 different QBs led the league, with the only repeat being Tom Brady in both 2017 and 2021. Even before Brees, it was rare for a player to lead the league in passing in two straight years: since 1968, only Ken Anderson, Dan Fouts, Dan Marino, and Warren Fouts have led the league in back-to-back campaigns.
Joe Burrow (+750) and Dak Prescott (+750) are also tied with Stafford for second on the odds table. Prescott was third in passing yards last year while Burrow was way off the pace, having missed half the season. However, Burrow did lead the league in this category in 2024.
While there are intriguing options all up and down the list, one of those top four just had to be our best bet.
Our Best Bet: Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (+750)
What more can you ask for? Prescott finished third last year with over 4,500 yards, he clearly likes new head coach Brian Schottenheimer’s offence, he’s got two All-Pro talents at wideout, a giant at tight end, a 1,200-yard rusher, and a top five offensive line.
And the Cowboys play in a dome. This is really gift-wrapped for Prescott. In his last three full seasons he has thrown for about 4,500 yards, but he tossed it for over 4,900 back in 2019. And this is the best offence he’s ever had.
Long Shot Dark Horse Candidate: Kyler Murray, Minnesota Vikings (+4,000)
This is such a long shot, Kyler Murray isn’t even on our odds table, where he would have been tied for 19th. Much like Prescott, Murray is coming into a really good situation. While he has never thrown for 4,000 yards in his career, he has all the tools to do it and then some.
First off, the Vikings have a tough schedule that could lead to a lot of passing situations. He also has an excellent receiving corps with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Jauan Jennings, and T.J. Hockenson. Kevin O’Connell’s track record is also excellent: Kirk Cousins was 4th in 2022, Cousins was leading the league when he went down in 2023, and Sam Darnold was 5th in 2024.
