NFL Week 11 MNF Raiders vs. Cowboys: NFL Betting Odds & Picks

The Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1) and Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) were both supposed to make big improvements in 2025 after rough campaigns in 2024. But that has not come to pass. They have both underachieved massively so far, so both will be desperate for a prime time win here on Monday Night Football in Week 11.
 
We’ve got all the best NFL betting odds for the game, and you can read on to check out our game picks and favorite player props for the matchup as well!

NFL Week 11 MNF Las Vegas Raiders vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds & Picks - Oct. 27

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

Raiders vs. Cowboys Game Prediction

When the powers that be set this as a prime time game before the season, they surely didn’t think both the Cowboys and Raiders would be as bad as they have been, with just five wins between them through the first 10 weeks of the season. But here we are.
 
This could actually be a good game though. Most Cowboys games are entertaining simply because they can score from anywhere—and the opponent can do the same. It is a matchup of teams that are desperate for a win: Dallas has lost three of four, and Vegas has lost seven of eight.
 
The Cowboys are 1-4 on the road, but the Raiders are also 1-3 at home. You’d think Dallas would have the advantage of rest, as they just had their bye. But the Raiders played on TNF last week, so they’ve had a little extra prep time too. It’s tough to find an edge anywhere.
 
We did find one when looking at each quarterback’s records in prime time, and specifically Monday night games. Dak Prescott has shone even under the lights. He is 19-8 all-time on Thursday, Saturday, and Monday, with a 5-2 record specifically on MNF. He’s also 27-14-1 during “late” games, which refer to any prime time games.
 
Conversely, the bright lights have blinded Geno Smith at times. He has gone 4-16 on Thursday/Saturday/Monday games, including a 3-7 mark on MNF. He was 1-3 last year in prime time games for Seattle. Overall, in late games, he has gone 5-17. Dallas has been poor as a favorite this year, but we believe Smith will play bad enough for the Cowboys to take this one straight up.

Prediction: Dallas Cowboys Moneyline (-190)

Raiders vs. Cowboys Player Prop Best Bet

Thankfully, betting sites are setting Cowboys running back Javonte Williams’ anytime touchdown prop at very reasonable -180 odds, comfortably under our -200 threshold. He’s not quite Josh Jacobs or Jonathan Taylor level, but he’s definitely getting there. In fact, his eight rushing TDs this season leave him sitting in a tie (with Jahmyr Gibbs) for third behind those two guys. That includes at least one TD in six of Dallas’ nine games this season.
 
The Raiders don’t give up a ton of rushing yards, sitting right in the middle of the pack with 106.6 rush yards allowed per game. However, they do allow a lot of rushing scores. They have given up nine on the year to RBs specifically, which is tied for third-most in the NFL.
 
And if the Cowboys get in the red zone—which they of course will, their 34 red zone trips are 10th-most in football—they were already likely to look to Williams. His 30 rushing attempts inside the 20 are fifth-most in football. That also represents an 81.1 percent share of Dallas’ rushing attempts in the red zone, which is sixth-most in the league. This seems a match made in heaven for Williams.
 
Best Bets

• Javonte Williams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-180)