World Cup 2026: Norway vs England Odds, Best Bets & Prediction

Betway odds, up to date at the time of writing and subject to change.

Norway and England collide in this World Cup's most unpredictable quarterfinal on July 11. Erling Haaland has scored in all four of his appearances for Norway, netting a decisive brace against Brazil in the Round of 16 (2-1). Norway are reaching a World Cup quarterfinal for the first time since 1938, a historic achievement built around the most lethal striker in the tournament.

England arrive with a 3-2 victory secured at the Azteca, fighting with ten men after Jarell Quansah's red card in the second half. Jude Bellingham's brace and Harry Kane's penalty demonstrated the Three Lions' capacity to dig deep under pressure. Quansah's suspension, however, forces Thomas Tuchel to reshuffle his central defensive partnership for this quarterfinal.

Both Teams to Score: -154

All five of Norway's matches at this World Cup produced at least three goals, with Haaland scoring in each of his four starts. England's reshuffled backline, missing Quansah, will face the most dangerous striker of this tournament. England have scored five goals in their two knockout-stage matches, and Norway's defence has conceded nine goals in five appearances. We back Both Teams to Score at -154, a market available on our Canadian odds comparison.

Betway and 888sport odds, correct at the time of writing and subject to change without notice.

The Norwegian side

Stale Solbakken's side have delivered the most prolific attacking campaign in Norwegian football history: twelve goals scored in five matches, with wins against Iraq (4-1), Senegal (3-2), Ivory Coast (2-1) and Brazil (2-1). The one blemish, a 4-1 defeat to France, exposes a genuine defensive frailty: Norway have conceded nine goals in five matches, the worst defensive record among the remaining sides. Haaland, with seven goals to his name and co-top scorer in the tournament, is the axis around which everything revolves. When he finds space between a reordered backline, the threat is almost automatic. For bettors, this means every Norway match carries both offensive and defensive volatility.

Predicted Lineup Norway (4-3-3): Nyland; Ryerson, Ajer, Lysaker Heggem, Wolfe; Odegaard, Berge, Berg' Sorloth, Nusa, Haaland.

The English side

Thomas Tuchel has constructed an impressively disciplined unit: eleven goals scored and only five conceded in five matches, including a 2-0 shut-out against Panama and a goalless draw against Ghana. The 3-2 win in Mexico City, achieved with ten men for virtually the entire second half, stands as the most remarkable result of England's tournament. Bellingham and Kane have formed a devastating partnership in knockout football. The key variable for this quarterfinal: Quansah's absence forces a defensive reshuffle that could expose England's backline against Haaland. An uncertain centre-back pairing facing the world's most clinical striker creates exactly the conditions that justify backing both teams to score.

Predicted Lineup England (4-2-3-1): Pickford; Spence, Konsa, Guehi, O'Reilly; Rice, Anderson, Saka, Bellingham, Gordon; Kane.

Betway and 888sport odds, correct at the time of writing

The two nations have limited recent history in competitive football. The most memorable meeting remains Norway's 2-0 win at Wembley in 1994 World Cup qualifying, a result that still resonates as evidence Norway can upset England on the biggest stages. That context reinforces why England cannot approach this quarterfinal as straightforward favourites against a Norwegian side in the form of its history.

Our bet is on goals from both sides. Haaland has scored in all five of Norway's matches, and England's patched up defence will face him without their first-choice centre-back pairing. At the same time, Bellingham and Kane have the individual quality to breach Norway's leaky backline, which has conceded nine goals across five appearances. The implied probability of Both Teams to Score at -150 (888sport) is just 60%, while the form data from both squads points to a 68-75% real probability. England are the logical favourites at -110, but the value sits in the goal markets.

The market places England at around 53% to win this quarterfinal (odds -110). Our estimate of 52.4% reflects the genuine uncertainty created by Quansah's suspension and the threat Haaland poses to a reorganised backline. The gap is modest, but consistent with a match where Norway have the weapons to produce a major upset.

The implied probability of Both Teams to Score at -150 is 60%. Our estimate sits between 68% and 75%: Haaland has scored in each of his four World Cup runouts for Norway, and England have found the net in every knockout appearance. The market underestimates the likelihood that both goalkeepers are beaten at least once, given Norway's nine goals conceded in five matches and England's prolific attack led by Bellingham and Kane.